The east coast could expect more intense than normal hurricane activity over the next few months.
Between 14 and 20 storms strong enough to be named by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are expected in 2022, with up to 10 classified as hurricanes. Named storms have wind speeds in excess of 39 mph and hurricanes have wind speeds in excess of 74 mph.
So far, three storms have achieved nominating status: Hurricane Bonnie and Tropical Storms Alex and Colin. While the NHC defines the Atlantic hurricane season as between June 1 and November 30, major hurricane activity typically does not begin until August.
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Between 14 and 20 storms strong enough to be named by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are expected in 2022, with up to 10 being classified as hurricanes — as shown in the NOAA chart above
So far this year, three storms have achieved named status: Hurricane Bonnie and Tropical Storms Alex and Colin. Hurricane Zeta is pictured above in the Gulf of Mexico in 2020
In August 2021, Hurricane Ida hit Louisiana with winds up to 150 miles per hour, damaging thousands of homes and knocking out power to millions. Pictured above is NOAA’s outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season
“While it was a relatively slow start to the hurricane season and no major storms were developing in the Atlantic, this is not unusual and as such we cannot afford to lose our vigilance,” FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell said in a statement. “This is especially important as we enter peak hurricane season — the next Ida or Sandy could still be on the horizon.”
Hurricanes over the Atlantic have increased significantly in recent years. Last year was the third strongest on record, with 21 storms strong enough to be named, including seven hurricanes.
It was the first time there had been enough storms to run the entire alphabet in two consecutive years (the annual list of names does not include ones beginning with the letters Q, U, X, Y, or Z). That’s a notable increase from the period between 1991 and 2020, when there were an average of 14 named storms per year.
In August 2021, Hurricane Ida hit Louisiana with winds up to 150 miles per hour, damaging thousands of homes and knocking out power to millions. According to government statistics, Ida killed 96 people and caused $75 billion in damage, making it the costliest US natural disaster of the year.
“Communities and families should now prepare for the remainder of what is likely to be an active hurricane season,” National Weather Service director Ken Graham said in a statement. Last year there were 21 named storms (as seen above)
Shirley Andrus looks inside her vehicle which was crushed by a fallen tree as Hurricane Laura swept through the area August 28, 2020 in Lake Charles, Louisiana
Officials have warned that anyone living near shore should be prepared for the possibility of significant storms. Picture above: Massive flooding from Hurricane Eta and Hurricane Iota in Honduras
“Communities and families should now prepare for the remainder of what is likely to be an active hurricane season,” National Weather Service director Ken Graham said in a statement.
“Make sure you’re ready to take action if a hurricane threatens your area by developing an evacuation plan now and gathering hurricane supplies before a storm hits your community.”
While the NHC forecasts don’t predict possible landfalls, Matthew Rosencrans, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s seasonal outlook, told DailyMail.com that in above-average years, the United States typically sees a doubling in the number of hurricanes that hit the Miami coast to Maine.
Criswell warned those living along the coast should prepare for what may be to come.
Just 20 minutes of preparation in advance could make a big difference when a major storm hits the coast, Rosencrans noted.
“They should make sure they have all their really important documents quickly and at hand. They should make sure their insurance plan is up to date and review their plan with their family and loved ones,” he said.
This year in the United States, the number of hurricanes hitting the coast from Miami to Maine could double. This satellite image shows Tropical Storm Dorian sitting over the Bahamas
Just 20 minutes of preparation in advance could make a world of difference when a major storm hits the coast, officials note. Pictured: A truck is stuck on a flooded road after Hurricane Laura passed in Grand Lake, south of Lake Charles, Louisiana
The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center put the probability of “above-average” storm activity at 60 percent, a slight improvement from May, when the same forecasters put the probability of an above-average season at 65 percent.
While storm activity has been relatively calm so far, East Coast residents should not be under a false sense of security.
“I think we often feel like early August was relatively calm despite the hurricane season on 1 The university’s School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences told DailyMail.com.
“I like to put it in a different context, which is: It just takes one storm to make landfall in a given area to make a season really impactful.”
Although climate systems are incredibly complex and influenced by numerous factors, the effects of climate change are being felt in the extreme strength of the storms of recent years, Reed says.
“The global average temperature has risen by over a degree Celsius, the temperature in the North Atlantic is warmer than in a world without climate change,” he said.
“As a result, when the storms happen and there are storms in the coming months, they will likely be stronger, they will drop more rain than they would have and these can have real impact when they hit land.”